Prediction Market

According to Nick Tomaino of 1confirmation citing Similarweb data, Polymarket received 43.1 million website visits over the past month, exceeding the combined traffic of FanDuel, DraftKings, and Kalshi. The platform has become one of the world's most-visited fintech

According to Jin10, prediction market Polymarket is seeking funding at a valuation exceeding $20 billion.

According to CNBC, on August 4, prediction market platform Kalshi announced a partnership with compliance technology company Comply to provide enterprise clients with trading monitoring and compliance management tools. Comply will integrate Kalshi prediction market trading data into its regulatory s

According to PPP prediction market monitoring, the Polymarket contract for "Spider-Man: A New Dawn" achieving over $900 million North American box office by end of August reached 73% probability, up 42% in 24 hours. Settlement will be based on box office data from The Numbers website as of August 31

On August 4, 2026, in the “Bitcoin August Price Prediction” event on the prediction market Polymarket, the “Below $62,500” option’s “Yes” probability surged from 49.5% to 89.5% within one hour—a 40-percentage-point swing. This sharp volatility was not merely isolated price noise, but a typical reaction to prediction markets functioning as real-time sentiment-pricing mechanisms. When the probability curve shifts so dramatically over a short period, the market is conveying a signal worth examining

According to Odaily, Polymarket trader TwoEyes initiated $1.404 million in short positions across Bitcoin and Strategy assets on Hyperliquid this morning. The trader opened 13.4011 BTC shorts at an average price of $63,679.4, while simultaneously shorting 5,000 MSTR and 899.1 STRC. Combined, these n

According to Polymarket data monitored by PPP prediction market tool, the probability of "Yes" in the Polymarket market "Will SpaceX earnings beat expectations" is currently at 31%. SpaceX will release its first financial report as a public company after U.S. market close on Tuesday. Per

Senate Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on August 3 that H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, will receive a Senate floor vote before the August recess, upgrading the bill's status from probable to scheduled. The confirmation establishes a vote timeline but does not resolve whether R

According to Senate Majority Leader John Thune on August 3, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) is scheduled for a Senate floor vote before the August recess. However, passage faces a significant hurdle: the bill requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, meaning Republicans must

US District Judge Jed S. Rakoff denied the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's request for a temporary restraining order against New York's enforcement case targeting prediction market operator Kalshi. The CFTC failed to demonstrate a strong likelihood of success on the merits or a likelihood of

According to CourtListener, Federal Judge Jed S. Rakoff denied the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's emergency request to halt New York's enforcement action against prediction market operator Kalshi today. The judge found that the CFTC had not demonstrated a strong likelihood of success on the

According to BlockBeats, on August 4, Polymarket became the official prediction market provider for the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) Tour, gaining exclusive streaming rights to all ATP Tour and ATP Challenger Series prediction market categories. Registered U.S. users can now watch

According to The Block, on August 4, a New York federal judge rejected the CFTC's emergency request to suspend New York State's enforcement action against prediction market platform Kalshi, allowing the state's lawsuit to

According to Wall Street consensus and prediction markets, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release July nonfarm employment data on Friday (August 7). Dow Jones economists expect 85,000 new jobs added and unemployment rate at 4.3%, while Reuters survey median forecasts 83,000-85,000.

According to The Block, New York State's highest court dismissed the preliminary injunction motion against Kalshi on August 4. The case has been transferred to federal court, following the state's lawsuit last week alleging that Kalshi operates illegal gambling services within the state.

According to PPP prediction market tool, on August 4, a trader purchased $7.68 million worth of Polymarket shares predicting Harry Kane as the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner, with an average entry price of 48.3 cents and 144,744.5 shares acquired. The account (0x792f8e8bae0323abf8927c6820863fbe8a98328a)

New York is suing prediction market platform Kalshi for operating as an unlicensed gambling platform, with a lawsuit filed on July 31 seeking penalties of $100,000 per illegal bet offered to state residents. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour claims the legal action is driven by traditional gambling firms

According to Bitcoin.com News, New York sued prediction market Kalshi on July 31, alleging the platform operates as an unlicensed gambling venue. The complaint seeks $100,000 in penalties for each illegal event market contract offered to state residents, plus restitution for user losses. Kalshi

On August 4, 2026, the LCK Challengers League (LCK CL) 2026 Season Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group will feature a highly anticipated matchup between T1 Esports Academy and KT Rolster Challengers. This is a direct showdown between two teams currently ranked near the top of the Challenge Group. According to data from the Gate prediction market, current market prices imply a 69% probability of victory for T1 Academy and 32% for KT Rolster Challengers. This near-70% win probability reflects the market’s