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🔹 “Unemployment Slowdown + September Corporate Tax: Liquidity Tightening Begins”
1. Employment & Economy
U.S. unemployment rate (expected 4.3%) signals a continued slowdown.
Suggests the economy is gradually losing momentum.
2. Market Status
Nasdaq and key stocks are still hitting new highs.
The focus now shifts from growth to whether a slowdown → recession develops.
3. Technical View
If recession fears materialize, Bitcoin could fall toward the 93–95K.
Personally, I see a higher likelihood of further downside.
4. Debate in the Market
The core question: “Rate cuts vs. recession?”
Rate cuts seem almost certain, but the spotlight is turning to recession risks.
5. Extra Factor
The September U.S. corporate tax deadline may tighten market liquidity further.
🔎 Conclusion
More likely to enter a correction phase than see a major rally.
Even if short-term rebounds occur, managing downside risk under potential recession is key
https://gate.com/post?post_id=13436666&tim=Cw4CAAIaWwFwUQoAHQlHDF9e&ref=VLISVFBACA&ref_type=105