Gate Research: AI Valuation Concerns Spread, Triggering a Global Risk-Asset Pullback

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2026-10-23 03:47:35
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Last Updated 2026-10-27 10:54:42
Gate Research Daily Report: U.S. technology stocks saw a sharp pullback, while Hong Kong and South Korean equities also came under pressure. BTC and ETH fell below key moving averages. BTR, MAGMA, and AKE led gains against the broader trend, while stablecoin reward rules, UK DeFi regulation, and spot BTC ETF flows remained key market focuses.

Global Stock Market Overview

U.S. Market Overview

  • Major index performance: On October 22, 2026, the S&P 500 fell 1.21% to 7,663.43, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.02% to 52,867.98. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.60% to 26,008.86. The Russell 2000 rose 0.11%, suggesting that capital continued rotating out of high-valuation technology names and into selected traditional sectors.

  • Sector performance: AI and semiconductor stocks weakened notably. Nvidia fell 4.4% and CoreWeave dropped 10.1% as markets reassessed the financing costs, capital-expenditure intensity, and return timelines associated with data-center buildouts. Energy, defensive, and selected value sectors proved relatively resilient, but their gains were insufficient to offset the drag from mega-cap technology stocks.

  • Key developments and economic data: Brent crude rose about 4% to around USD 113.17 per barrel, a roughly five-month high. Geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over energy supply continued to fuel inflation concerns. Investors will focus on earnings guidance for AI-related capital spending, cloud-computing demand, and profit margins.

Hong Kong Market Overview

  • Market close: On October 22, 2026, the Hang Seng Index fell 3.03% to 22,934.68, the Hang Seng TECH Index dropped 5.03% to 3,793.93, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index declined 3.20% to 7,689.19. Technology and growth stocks sold off sharply, while risk appetite in the main board weakened materially.

  • Southbound flows: Southbound investors recorded net sales of more than HKD 9.2 billion during the session. As volatility increased, investors placed greater emphasis on valuation, cash flow, and defensive characteristics, while high-beta growth assets faced more pronounced position adjustments.

  • Sector performance: AI, internet, semiconductor, and healthcare stocks broadly declined. Alibaba, NetEase, and SMIC each fell more than 6%; Zhipu declined more than 7%, while MiniMax fell more than 6%. Energy and high-dividend sectors displayed relatively defensive characteristics.

  • Key developments and IPO activity: Markets continued to assess the effects of elevated overseas interest rates, energy costs, and AI investment on corporate earnings. Hong Kong’s IPO market remained focused on AI, biotechnology, advanced manufacturing, and consumer companies, with investors becoming more cautious on offering valuations and post-listing liquidity.

South Korea Market Overview

  • Market close: On October 22, 2026, the KOSPI fell by around 3.5%, dragged lower by weakness in heavyweight semiconductor stocks, while the KOSDAQ also came under pressure. The valuation reset in global AI-related equities spread across Asian markets, significantly increasing volatility in Korean equities.

  • Foreign and institutional flows: Foreign investors’ risk appetite for large-cap technology and semiconductor names weakened, while capital rotated toward defensive and lower-volatility assets. The Bank of Korea’s policy meeting and movements in the Korean won also remained key near-term drivers of fund flows.

  • Major sectors and constituents: Samsung Electronics fell about 4.0%, while SK hynix declined about 5.5%. Semiconductor equipment and materials stocks also retreated. Although long-term expectations for the memory-chip cycle remain intact, near-term valuation and capital-expenditure concerns continued to weigh on share prices.

  • Key developments: Markets continued to monitor AI server demand, HBM order visibility, and the capital-spending plans of major data-center customers. External interest rates, oil prices, and the global technology-stock correction remained the principal risk variables for the Korean market.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview

  • BTC (-3.23% | Current price: 81,452 USDT): BTC traded between 80,935.7 and 84,368.4 USDT over the past 24 hours. The hourly EMA7 stood at 81,434.60 USDT, below the EMA30 at 82,160.84 USDT; the price also remained below the EMA120 and EMA200, indicating a weak short-term moving-average structure. RSI was 35.80, nearing oversold territory, while ADX was 51.31, indicating a relatively strong downtrend. The Bollinger Band midline was around 81,795.92 USDT, with the upper and lower bands at approximately 82,768.63 USDT and 80,823.22 USDT, respectively. The 80,936–80,823 USDT range represents key support, while 81,796–82,161 USDT is the first resistance zone.

  • ETH (-3.25% | Current price: 2,396.71 USDT): ETH traded between 2,360.21 and 2,479.22 USDT over the past 24 hours. The hourly EMA7 was 2,389.29 USDT, below the EMA30 at 2,415.76 USDT, while the price remained capped by the EMA120 and EMA200. RSI was 36.47, in neutral-to-weak territory, and ADX was 38.90, suggesting that the current trend still has meaningful strength. The Bollinger Band midline was around 2,404.06 USDT, with the upper and lower bands at approximately 2,443.46 USDT and 2,364.65 USDT. The 2,365–2,360 USDT range is the primary support area, while 2,404–2,416 USDT forms the first resistance zone.

  • Altcoins: Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market capitalization rose about 3.3% to approximately USD 1.63 trillion, with trading volume at around USD 291.283 billion. BTC dominance stood at 60.07%, while ETH dominance was 10.71%; capital remained concentrated in major assets and selected high-beta themes. The Altcoin Season Index was 54, indicating that a broad-based altcoin market has yet to emerge. The Fear & Greed Index stood at 48, reflecting cautious sentiment. Open interest in BTC and ETH derivatives declined in tandem, indicating a reduction in leveraged positions.

Trending Crypto Tokens

BTR Bitlayer (+54.19%, Circulating Market Cap: Approximately USD 11.602 Million)

According to Gate market data, BTR was trading at 0.06928 USDT, up 54.19% over the past 24 hours, with spot trading volume of approximately 1.5397 million USDT. Bitlayer is a Layer 2 project built on Bitcoin-native security architecture, focused on developing the BitVM bridge, yield-bearing Bitcoin assets such as YBTC, and high-throughput Rollup infrastructure.

BTR’s rally was mainly driven by rotation into Bitcoin ecosystem and BTCFi themes, stronger spot activity, and concentrated short-term capital inflows. Following the rapid price increase, investors should monitor progress on BitVM-related products, cross-chain liquidity, and whether trading activity can be sustained to assess demand after elevated turnover.

MAGMA Magma Finance (+50.18%, Circulating Market Cap: Approximately USD 63.1066 Million)

According to Gate market data, MAGMA was trading at 0.50334 USDT, up 50.18% over the past 24 hours, with spot trading volume of approximately 2.3203 million USDT. Magma Finance is a liquidity protocol in the Sui ecosystem, using an adaptive liquidity market maker built with Move to improve on-chain liquidity and capital efficiency.

MAGMA’s gains reflect renewed attention toward the Sui ecosystem and on-chain liquidity themes, with stronger trading activity supporting the short-term breakout. Key factors to watch include protocol liquidity, trading volumes, user activity, and whether new capital inflows can persist.

AKE Akedo (+33.84%, Circulating Market Cap: Approximately USD 553 Million)

According to Gate market data, AKE was trading at 0.031595 USDT, up 33.84% over the past 24 hours, with spot trading volume of approximately 13.2206 million USDT. Akedo is an AI-agent-enabled game and content creation engine and launchpad that enables creators to build content and launch related tokens.

AKE’s advance was mainly supported by interest in AI applications, on-chain content creation, and launchpad themes. Its spot trading volume also stood out among trending tokens. Going forward, market attention will focus on actual platform usage, creator ecosystem expansion, and whether elevated trading activity can be maintained.

Alpha Insights

U.S. Regulators Permit Stablecoin Rewards Under Certain Conditions

Under the implementation framework for the GENIUS Act, U.S. federal banking regulators clarified that stablecoin issuers remain prohibited from directly paying interest to holders. However, trading platforms and custodians may offer stablecoin-related rewards to customers on a case-by-case basis. The arrangement preserves room for yield-oriented products offered by crypto platforms, while intensifying the debate between the crypto industry and traditional banks over potential deposit outflows.

Key issues to monitor include case-by-case approval standards, platform disclosure and customer-asset protection arrangements, and whether the banking sector pushes for further restrictions.

UK FCA Publishes Guidance on DeFi Regulatory Boundaries

The UK Financial Conduct Authority published DeFi guidance, clarifying that, from October 25, 2027, certain regulated firms providing financial services through DeFi will fall within the new regulatory perimeter for cryptoasset activities. The rules address the nature of activities, service arrangements, and the allocation of regulatory responsibilities.

The guidance signals the UK’s effort to distinguish between decentralized technology applications and regulated financial services. Key areas to monitor include the practical responsibilities of front-end operators, wallet providers, and protocol developers, as well as the impact on UK users’ access to DeFi services.

U.S. Spot BTC ETFs Continue to See Net Inflows

U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded approximately USD 528 million in net inflows on October 21, marking a third consecutive trading day of inflows. IBIT accounted for around USD 235 million of the total. Meanwhile, BTC spot prices weakened amid softer macro risk appetite, indicating that short-term price action and institutional fund flows may continue to diverge.

Investors should monitor whether ETF inflows remain durable, volatility across broader risk assets, and the impact of derivatives deleveraging on spot-market liquidity.

References


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Author: Puffy
Reviewer(s): Kieran, Summer
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